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BACKGROUND: This study aimed to analyze trends in the burden of myocarditis in the Chinese population during 1990-2019. METHODS: The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database aims to assess the burden of various diseases and injuries on a global scale, and the contribution of relevant risk factors to the burden of disease was also included. In this study, we collected age-standardized incidence and mortality rates for myocarditis in China from 1990 to 2019 using GBD 2019. The age-period-cohort model was utilized to calculate local drift, longitudinal age patterns, as well as the ratios of period and cohort. RESULTS: The age-standardized incidence and mortality rates of myocarditis in both men and women presented a decreasing trend during 1990-2019 [average annual percentage change (AAPC) of men = -0.202 (95% CI: -0.213 to -0.191); AAPC of women = -0.263 (95% CI: -0.27 to -0.256) for incidence; AAPC of men = -0.233 (95% CI: -0.371 to -0.094); AAPC of women = -0.872 (95% CI: -1.112 to -0.631) for mortality]. Longitudinal age curves showed that myocarditis incidence and mortality rates elevated with age among individuals aged 15-95+ years, with a higher growth rate in men than in women. The period and cohort ratios for both men and women showed similar decreasing trends. Local drift values for the incidence and mortality rates of myocarditis showed an increasing trend among individuals aged 70-75 years and above. CONCLUSION: Although the overall burden of myocarditis in China presented a decreasing trend during 1990-2019, the male and elderly populations still have a higher risk of incidence and mortality. Therefore, it is essential for the health-care system to introduce effective prevention and treatment measures for myocarditis.
RESUMO
OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to describe the temporal trends in age and gender burdens of rheumatic heart disease (RHD) in China from 1990 to 2019, including incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and to compare them with the global burden of the disease. METHODS: Using open data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database from 1990 to 2019, this study analyzed the characteristics of RHD burden in China and worldwide, including changes in incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs. Joinpoint was used to calculate the average annual percentage change (AAPC) and the corresponding 95% confidence interval (95% CI) to reflect the trends in the burden of RHD. A comprehensive comparative analysis of the differences in RHD burden between China and the rest of the world was conducted from multiple dimensions, including age, gender, and time periods. RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of RHD in China decreased from 29.62/100,000 to 23.95/100,000, while the global ASIR increased from 32.69/100,000 to 37.40/100,000. The age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) in China decreased from 446.15/100,000 to 390.24/100,000, while the global ASPR increased from 451.56/100,000 to 513.68/100,000. The age-standardized rates of mortality (ASMR) in China decreased from 18.11/100,000 to 4.04/100,000, while the global ASMR decreased from 8.94/100,000 to 3.85/100,000. The age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR) in China decreased from 431.45/100,000 to 93.73/100,000, while the global ASDR decreased from 283.30/100,000 to 132.88/100,000. The AAPC of ASIR, ASPR, ASMR, and ASDR in China was - 0.73%, -0.47%, -5.10%, and - 5.21%, respectively, while the AAPC of the global burden of RHD was 0.48%, 0.45%, -2.87%, and - 2.58%, respectively. The effects of age and gender on the burden of RHD were different. ASIR generally decreased with increasing age, while ASPR increased first and then decreased. ASMR and ASDR increased with increasing age. Women had higher incidence and mortality rates of RHD than men. CONCLUSION: From 1990 to 2019, the incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs of RHD in China decreased, indicating a relative reduction in the burden of RHD in China. The burden of RHD is age-related, with a higher prevalence observed in the younger population, a peak incidence among young adults, and a higher mortality rate among the elderly population. Women are more susceptible to RHD and have a higher risk of mortality than men. Given China's large population and aging population, RHD remains a significant public health challenge in China.
